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NO 💕 for Short Term- Feb 2025 (#54)

Happy Singles Awareness day for the single folks and for the rest of you enjoy some time with your beau. Your dude Brent is in Billings, Montana freezing his keister off (was literally -20 F this morning!). In the spirit of LOVE let me tell you what I have NO love for…

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Motivation

Success in investing is not about being right all the time. It’s about minimizing losses and maximizing gains.

-Jim Simons

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Money

I recently finished a fascinating book called ‘The Man who Solved the Market’ by Gregory Zuckerman. It’s about the late mathematician and hedge fund manager Jim Simons (RIP homie!). What Simons is famous for is being the first to master algorithmic trading, which is a fancy way of saying having computers trade for you. His main fund went 10 years without losing money and had returns averaging over 70%!!! Dude PRINTS money!!!

Jim Simons was an absolute genius. He made extremely important contributions to mathematics and computer science before deciding to become a hedge fund manager. But here’s the rub, it took this friggen brainiac math genius TEN YEARS and MILLIONS of dollars to really start making money with short term trading. He nearly gave up many times and went through countless staff members.

Ok so guess what his win rate is? As in of how many trades he does, what percent would you guess are successful? The answer may surprise you… 50.5%!!! You read that right, his trades make money just barely over 50% of the time!!!

So what’s the takeaway from this? I have people ask me on occasion about generating extra income day trading or doing some other super short term activity for quick gains… Here’s what I tell them… DON’T DO IT!!! Why? Brainiacs like Jim Simons only won 50.5% of the time… What do you think YOUR chances are??? Hint: It’s not good. Virtually anyone trying to convince you otherwise is selling you something. If what they knew actually worked they WOULD NOT ADVERTISE IT.

As tempting as short term gains are I would encourage you to AVOID virtually anything that promises quick returns. Chances are you will lose money. As a general rule, the longer you can hold something, the better chance you have of making money. At least one to five years is usually best. Cultivating a mindset to LOVE longer term investments is one of the best things you can do as an investor. LOVE THE LONG folks!!!

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